The one (and only) thing that we all expected would come to fruition today is that volatility would reign. Few people predicted a Trump win, and far fewer predicted a Republican sweep of Congress and the executive branch. That said, it shouldn’t be a surprise that Republicans retained the Senate, because the factors that brought […]
Continue readingAn Ode to Goldlocks… and TINA Have you ever said something so many times that you just assume you’ve said it to everyone you know? Such would be the case with Goldilocks and me. If this subject seems like uncovered ground to you, you’re in luck with this newsletter. If you’re all too familiar […]
Continue readingIt’s not everyday that we’re voting on whether to support the buyout of one of our major holdings. While we’ve owned a handful of stocks that have been acquired over the years, the last takeout of a large Monarch holding was Biomet in 2007. As the proxy forms have just been mailed to EMC shareholders, […]
Continue readingHow Persistent Investing Can Generate Lollapalooza Results “Wealth is largely the result of habit.” – John Jacob Astor (1763-1848) Bank accounts and interest-bearing securities (bonds) have not been very profitable lately. Is it too dangerous to keep most your savings in […]
Continue readingYou might be thinking that watching stock prices fall nearly everyday is starting to get old. We agree. And here’s a reason to take some measure of satisfaction: you’re actually right! As you can see on the chart above, the S&P 500 continues to make round-trips down to this 1812-1860 range. This is, in fact, […]
Continue readingSo, the market is off to a less-than-stellar start to the year, to put it mildly. In fact, stocks endured the worst first week ever, with the S&P down 6% last week. Naturally, everyone wants to know what it means for the rest of the year, so here it is, the good, bad, and ugly. […]
Continue readingAs some of you may know I am an avid fan of Adam Smith. I have often quoted from his book Wealth of Nations which was written in 1776, 239 years ago. As I was starting to put this newsletter together I saw the following quote from Adam Smith’s other major book The Theory of […]
Continue readingWhy is it Called a Correction When it Feels So Wrong? The correction is finally here! The moment investors and fund managers have been waiting for. Finally, they can put to work all that cash sitting on the sidelines. Hallelujah, happy days. But first, have you ever stopped to ponder why the word “correction” is […]
Continue readingWaiting for the ephemeral correction has been like waiting for Godot. Okay, so maybe it’s been more like waiting for your next dentist appointment (apologies to all dentists) or colonoscopy. You knew it wasn’t going to be fun, and you knew the time would come eventually. While painful in the short-term, they make the patient […]
Continue readingThinking about the next 5 years, we wonder what will happen to inflation and interest rates. As you know, the Federal Reserve has held rates down close to 0% for an extended period of time to stimulate the economy. The graph below shows the 90-day Treasury bill yield, the 10-year Treasury bond yield, and the […]
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