Greetings from Omaha! Yes, we know that today is Fed Day, and we are all back in the Fort in the Monarch office today. As expected, the Fed raised its Fed Funds target rate by 0.50% (50 basis points) this afternoon. Commensurately, the Fed will also shrink its massive balance sheet by not reinvesting the …
Hunting for a Lollapalooza Great oaks from little acorns grow. A single voter by himself wields little influence, but if millions vote the same way they can change the direction of a country. Termites are tiny insects, but working together they will collapse a mansion. A person labors all his/her life in a low-paying …
Happy St. Patrick’s Day! We didn’t choose this day for a blog post because of the holiday, nor for the “official” start to March Madness (for fans of the Hoosiers and Irish, it began Tuesday and Wednesday…Go Big Red and Go Irish!). Truth be told, we’ve been waiting for clarity on this Ukraine War so …
Resiliency If you stay in the running – if you have endurance – you are bound to win over those who haven’t. -Glenn Cunningham (1909 – 1988), athlete From a young age, I have always had a love for sports and the story of Glenn Cunningham may be the front runner. As a young school …
The 2021 Monarch Christmas Lunch Seminar earlier this month was a splendid affair. The Club was fully decked out in Christmas cheer, including the “indoor deer” with a swiveling head, which is so lifelike that Adam was convinced it had just flown in through the chimney. It was the coldest day in December, but the …
It is a rarity that we highlight the work of another portfolio manager, unless his name is Warren Buffett. Maybe there’s a pride issue there, that we believe we are better writers than others, or we are so contrarian that we are apt to go the opposite direction of every so-called “expert” in our business. …
There’s a Shortage Of … Got some bad news. We regret to inform you that we are raising the price of this newsletter, with immediate effect. We tried to keep costs down, but with shortages of paper, toner, and shipping bottlenecks, we will not be making an adequate return on the newsletter. So, we are …
Transitory or Sticky? The Effect of Inflation on Interest Rates and the Economy The charts below cover the last 67 years of the stock market and the interest rate of the 10-year Treasury bond. Interest rates were rising for the first 27 years and declining for the last 40 years. The stock market performed pretty …
